Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (433/494) | 80% (225/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (433/494) | 80% (225/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 39% (13/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (109/145) | 77% (82/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fidalgo A. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 58', Gomez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Gutierrez E. (A),
- 64', Cowell C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 69', Aguirre R. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
- 69', Caceres S. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
- 70', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
- 78', Alvarez E. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
- 78', Alvarado R. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
- 79', dos Santos J. 🟨,
- 80', Espinoza D. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
- 81', Zendejas A. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Ledezma R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sanchez E. 🟨,
- 90+7', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Zendejas A. ⚽,
- 90+10', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club América
55.1% | Draw
24.9% | Chivas Guadalajara
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Club América - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.56) |
3.76 ↓
(4.09) |
4.74 ↓
(5.33) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Club América - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 3.
- América has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Guadalajara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, América is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
Ledezma R.
(Muscle Injury)
Pulido A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Naveda S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
- We predict that América will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, América won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Club América has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Club América?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club América - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
12.03.2025
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:0
08.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Club América
0:0
05.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Club América
1:0
14.09.2024
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
18.05.2024
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Club América
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
