Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 22:07 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 87% (458/525) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 87% (458/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (78/113) | 76% (72/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Campillo Del Campo D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Davila V. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 46', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
- 61', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
- 63', Ledezma R. 🟨,
- 65', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez E. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 72', Violante I. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
- 73', Martin H. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
- 79', Govea O. 🟨,
- 80', dos Santos J. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 84', Rangel R. 🟨,
- 85', Govea O. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 85', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
43.3% | Draw
26.9% | Club América
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Chivas Guadalajara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.14) |
3.48 ↑
(3.15) |
3.12 ↓
(3.39) |
6.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Club América?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 6 - 60%). América will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club América will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- América is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Guadalajara could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Sepulveda G.
(Ankle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Club América?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Club América has won 10 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Club América were as follows:
13.09.2025
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
12.03.2025
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:0
08.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Club América
0:0
05.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Club América
1:0
14.09.2024
Club América
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
