Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (418/476) | 75% (194/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (418/476) | 75% (194/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (75/96) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (111/147) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Pachuca Martinez J. R. 🟨,
- 20', Angulo B. 🟨,
- 26', Bellon P. 🟨,
- 38', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Waller Martiarena F. F. ↑,
- 43', Moyano F. 🟨,
- 45+6', Waller Martiarena F. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bellon P. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Guardado A. ⚽,
- 63', Gonzalez P. ↓, Guido Paz D. ↑,
- 63', Marin R. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 64', Fonseca N. 🟨,
- 74', Cadiz J. ↓, Cisneros C. ↑,
- 74', Guardado A. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
- 74', Moyano F. ↓, Arce F. ↑,
- 74', Angulo B. ↓, Gonzalez Mateo ↑,
- 81', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 81', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 88', Fedorco J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
- 90+2', Mendoza S. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Club León
59.4% | Draw
23% | Puebla
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club León that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Club León - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.6) |
4.07 ↑
(4.06) |
5.35 ↑
(5.25) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Club León - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches León won 2.
- León is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Puebla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match León is a favorite.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Frias A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Rivas J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches León won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams León won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Puebla?
Club León has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Club León?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - Puebla were as follows:
16.07.2024
Puebla
-
Club León
2:2
16.03.2024
Club León
-
Puebla
2:1
03.11.2023
Puebla
-
Club León
5:4
14.02.2023
Club León
-
Puebla
2:0
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
