Result
1:2
08/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Hernandez Andrade K. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/492) | 83% (303/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/492) | 83% (303/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (30/48) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (87/114) | 61% (44/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Organista A. ⚽, Monarrez F. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Moreno I. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 30', Lozano E. 🟨,
- 33', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Gomez E. ⚽, Monarrez F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fonseca N. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
- 46', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 47', Bellon P. 🟨,
- 61', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
- 67', Organista A. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 67', Araos A. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
- 68', Reyes S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 75', Moreno I. ↓, Hernandez F. ↑,
- 79', Garnica B. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
- 79', Lozano E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
- 90+5', de la Rosa A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club León
49.6% | Draw
25.1% | Puebla
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Club León - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.85) |
3.73 ↓
(3.76) |
3.72 ↓
(3.76) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Club León - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
Club León will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.
- León has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- León may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, León is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in León: Arcila D.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Funes Mori R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J.
(Ankle Injury)
Moyano F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, León won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Puebla?
Club León has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Club León?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - Puebla were as follows:
12.04.2025
Club León
-
Puebla
1:0
16.07.2024
Puebla
-
Club León
2:2
16.03.2024
Club León
-
Puebla
2:1
03.11.2023
Puebla
-
Club León
5:4
14.02.2023
Club León
-
Puebla
2:0
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
