Result
0:1
10/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (310/374) | 86% (383/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (310/374) | 86% (383/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 74% (102/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 27', Ramirez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Barreiro S. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
- 60', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
- 60', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 63', Gomez E. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 68', Ramirez A. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
- 70', Velasco K. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽,
- 77', Moreno I. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
- 78', Moreno I. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 78', Organista A. ↓, Araos A. ↑,
- 81', Pachuca Martinez J. R. 🟨,
- 84', Pachuca Martinez J. R. 🟥,
- 90+1', Cambindo D. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla
35.3% | Draw
27% | Club León
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club León's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.13) |
3.47 ↑
(3.38) |
2.52 ↓
(2.98) |
6.3%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Club León?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). León will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Baltazar C.
(Knee Injury)
Diaz N.
(Red Card)
Maestro I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in León: Estrada A.
(Broken Leg)
Vegas S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Castillo R.
(Broken Leg)
Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Club León?
Puebla has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Puebla?
Club León has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Club León were as follows:
08.11.2025
Club León
-
Puebla
1:2
12.04.2025
Club León
-
Puebla
1:0
16.07.2024
Puebla
-
Club León
2:2
16.03.2024
Club León
-
Puebla
2:1
03.11.2023
Puebla
-
Club León
5:4
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
