Result
0:3
14/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (491/545) | 75% (171/229) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (491/545) | 75% (171/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (29/40) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (138/174) | 53% (37/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽, Abreu D. (A),
- 11', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 2, Abreu D. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 34', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 34', Vallejo N. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 3, Castaneda K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Boya F. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 55', Beltran Cruz F. 🟨,
- 60', Rivero I. 🟨,
- 61', Rodriguez I. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
- 62', Gauthier V. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 62', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 62', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 68', Mora C. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
- 72', Inzunza R. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 81', Preciado A. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
- 83', Vega A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club León
52% | Draw
24.6% | Tijuana
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club León's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club León that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Club León - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.1) |
3.79 ↑
(3.72) |
3.95 ↑
(3.19) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Club León - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for León: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - León (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tijuana (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tijuana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 2.
- Recent performances by León have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tijuana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- León will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tijuana: Porozo J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in León: Colula B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, León won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Tijuana?
Club León has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Club León?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - Tijuana were as follows:
19.09.2025
Tijuana
-
Club León
5:0
01.03.2025
Club León
-
Tijuana
2:1
30.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Club León
2:1
03.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Club León
1:1
23.09.2023
Club León
-
Tijuana
1:0
Latest results of Club León
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
