Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 40', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rencoret C. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Velazco F. ⚽,
- 62', Cubillos G. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 73', Galleguillos A. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
- 73', Sagredo B. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
- 75', Velazco F. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
- 77', Gotti G. 🟨,
- 83', Aranguiz T. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
- 85', Cazula A. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
- 90', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
- 90+3', Tapia B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Reyes G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Marcos de Arica
48.8% | Draw
28.9% | Cobreloa
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.37) |
3.52 ↑
(3.18) |
4.56 ↑
(2.9) |
-1.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Aggregate: 4-3. 2nd leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos de Arica won against Cobreloa?
San Marcos de Arica has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cobreloa won against San Marcos de Arica?
Cobreloa has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa were as follows:
30.11.2025
Cobreloa
-
San Marcos de Arica
3:1
26.11.2025
San Marcos de Arica
-
Cobreloa
2:1
19.07.2025
Cobreloa
-
San Marcos de Arica
2:0
01.03.2025
San Marcos de Arica
-
Cobreloa
1:1
28.06.2024
Cobreloa
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:0
Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
Latest results of Cobreloa
