Result
0:1
27/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 5
- Referee: Gamboa H. J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/456) | 81% (275/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/456) | 81% (275/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (129/162) | 65% (84/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/32) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽, Rubio D. (A),
- 13', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
- 38', Chamorro F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fuentes J. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
- 46', Brea J. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
- 46', Yanis C. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 62', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,
- 71', Gutierrez J. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 76', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 82', Nadruz A. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
- 82', Mac Allister F. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
- 87', Rubio D. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
- 88', Chamorro F. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
- 90+1', Frias F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cobresal
38.7% | Draw
29.2% | Deportes La Serena
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobresal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Cobresal - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.08) |
3.19 ↓
(3.34) |
2.93 ↓
(3.45) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cobresal - Deportes La Serena?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cobresal (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Cobresal (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cobresal will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 3.
- Cobresal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportes La Serena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
- Cobresal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Deportes La Serena?
Cobresal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Cobresal?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
24.01.2026
Deportes La Serena
-
Cobresal
2:3
26.07.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Cobresal
0:2
11.05.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Cobresal
1:1
23.02.2025
Cobresal
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
27.01.2025
Cobresal
-
Deportes La Serena
1:2
Latest results of Cobresal
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nublense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | A. Italiano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | La Serena | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Palestino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
