Result
1:1
22/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (247/320) | 77% (303/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (247/320) | 77% (303/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (64/94) | 59% (64/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Trinanes F. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Rubio P. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 36', Cespedes D. 🟨,
- 37', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 42', Toro C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Trinanes F. ⚽, Mesias C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Trinanes F. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
- 60', Sanchez P. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 61', Plaza M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 61', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 83', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 85', Mateos F. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 90+3', Cerezo B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cobresal 39% | Draw 27.6% | Ñublense 33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobresal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ñublense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cobresal - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (1.81) |
3.43 ↓ (3.5) |
2.87 ↓ (4.32) |
6.3% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cobresal - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobresal: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cobresal could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Ñublense?
Cobresal has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Cobresal?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - Ñublense were as follows:
14.09.2024
Ñublense
-
Cobresal
1:0
20.04.2024
Cobresal
-
Ñublense
2:2
06.08.2023
Ñublense
-
Cobresal
1:2
18.02.2023
Cobresal
-
Ñublense
1:1
Latest results of Cobresal
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso