Cobresal vs Ñublense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Cobresal - Ñublense
Result
1:1
22/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 15
  • Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Cobresal - Ñublense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.67
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
77% (247/320)77% (303/393)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.46
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
77% (247/320)77% (303/393)
Long passes
42% (23/55)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
68% (64/94)59% (64/109)
Crosses
31% (4/13)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.17
Throw-ins
2029
Fouls
1111
Tackles
86% (6/7)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
4222
Interceptions
189
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.460.24
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Trinanes F. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Rubio P. , Reyes L. (A),
  • 36', Cespedes D. 🟨,
  • 37', Plaza M. 🟨,
  • 42', Toro C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Trinanes F. , Mesias C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Trinanes F. , Marquez A. ,
  • 60', Sanchez P. , Graciani G. ,
  • 61', Plaza M. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 61', Rubio P. , Sosa G. ,
  • 83', Graciani G. 🟨,
  • 85', Mateos F. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 90+3', Cerezo B. , Sanhueza D. ,

Chances of winning


Cobresal
39%
Draw
27.6%
Ñublense
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 26.7% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.2% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.
  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobresal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ñublense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cobresal - Ñublense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.81)
    3.43
    (3.5)
    2.87
    (4.32)
    6.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cobresal - Ñublense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cobresal: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cobresal could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - Ñublense were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Ñublense - Cobresal 1:0
    20.04.2024 Cobresal - Ñublense 2:2
    06.08.2023 Ñublense - Cobresal 1:2
    18.02.2023 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1
    Latest results of Cobresal
    Latest results of Ñublense
    15.06.2025 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 2:3
    31.05.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 0:1
    25.05.2025 Ñublense - OHiggins 0:1
    19.05.2025 Colo-Colo - Ñublense 2:2
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3U. De Chile1491431:131828
    4Palestino1584322:14828
    5O'Higgins1575315:15026
    6U. Catolica1574422:14825
    7Cobresal1565419:18123
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1463523:15821
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola15211212:29-177
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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