Ñublense vs Cobresal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
07/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 30
  • Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.960.26
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
258
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
92% (621/677)74% (192/260)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.960.26
xG on target (xGOT)
4.370.08
Total shots
258
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
204
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
711
Passes
92% (621/677)74% (192/260)
Long passes
79% (58/73)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
84% (183/218)58% (55/95)
Crosses
68% (17/25)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
3.860.43
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
117
Tackles
85% (17/20)95% (18/19)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
1613
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.084.37
Goals prevented
0.08-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 28', Henriquez Neira J. A. 🟥,
  • 30', Pinos J. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Sosa G. , Molina L. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 0, Sosa G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Mesias C. , Cespedes D. ,
  • 46', Toro C. , Marquez A. ,
  • 57', Munder C. 🟨,
  • 62', Plaza M. , Mateos F. ,
  • 62', Molina L. , Rubio P. ,
  • 65', 4 - 0, Mateos F. ,
  • 69', Graciani G. , Sanhueza D. ,
  • 75', Cerezo B. , Segura G. ,
  • 75', Reyes L. , Montecinos C. ,
  • 79', Coelho D. 🟨,
  • 81', 5 - 0, Sosa G. ,
  • 83', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
  • 86', Segura G. 🟨,
  • 89', Fernandez V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Moreno C. , Bechtholdt F. ,

Chances of winning


Ñublense
34.7%
Draw
31.1%
Cobresal
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 26% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 25.9% 33.2%

Ñublense - Cobresal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.68
(2.29)
3.01
(3.59)
2.73
(2.82)
7.1%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Cobresal?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cobresal will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
    • Ñublense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cobresal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cobresal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Cobresal will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Cobresal were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1
    14.09.2024 Ñublense - Cobresal 1:0
    20.04.2024 Cobresal - Ñublense 2:2
    06.08.2023 Ñublense - Cobresal 1:2
    18.02.2023 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1
    Latest results of Ñublense
    01.12.2025 Audax Italiano - Ñublense 1:0
    24.11.2025 Ñublense - Huachipato 0:1
    08.11.2025 OHiggins - Ñublense 4:2
    01.11.2025 Ñublense - Colo-Colo 0:1
    Latest results of Cobresal
    28.11.2025 Cobresal - Colo-Colo 3:0
    31.10.2025 Audax Italiano - Cobresal 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Copiapo (2)Bye
    2Antofagasta (5)D. Concepcion (6)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Cobreloa (3)S. Wanderers (8)3 : 2, 2 : 2
    4San Marcos de Arica (4)Rangers (7)1 : 0, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1CopiapoD. Concepcion1 : 1, 0 : 1
    2CobreloaSan Marcos de Arica3 : 1, 1 : 2

    Final
    1D. ConcepcionCobreloa3 : 2, 1 : 1