Result
5:0
07/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 30
- Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.96 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (621/677) | 74% (192/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.96 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.37 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (621/677) | 74% (192/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 79% (58/73) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (183/218) | 58% (55/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 95% (18/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 4.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 28', Henriquez Neira J. A. 🟥,
- 30', Pinos J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽, Molina L. (A),
- 45', 3 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mesias C. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
- 46', Toro C. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
- 57', Munder C. 🟨,
- 62', Plaza M. ↓, Mateos F. ↑,
- 62', Molina L. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 0, Mateos F. ⚽,
- 69', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 75', Cerezo B. ↓, Segura G. ↑,
- 75', Reyes L. ↓, Montecinos C. ↑,
- 79', Coelho D. 🟨,
- 81', 5 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽,
- 83', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
- 86', Segura G. 🟨,
- 89', Fernandez V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Moreno C. ↓, Bechtholdt F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
34.7% | Draw
31.1% | Cobresal
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ñublense's form might have worsened.Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ñublense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-1%)
Ñublense - Cobresal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.29) |
3.01 ↓
(3.59) |
2.73 ↓
(2.82) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Cobresal?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cobresal will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- Ñublense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Cobresal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cobresal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Cobresal will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Cobresal?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Ñublense?
Cobresal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Cobresal were as follows:
22.06.2025
Cobresal
-
Ñublense
1:1
14.09.2024
Ñublense
-
Cobresal
1:0
20.04.2024
Cobresal
-
Ñublense
2:2
06.08.2023
Ñublense
-
Cobresal
1:2
18.02.2023
Cobresal
-
Ñublense
1:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
