Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 16
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/341) | 84% (441/528) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/341) | 84% (441/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/129) | 66% (85/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Marquez A. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Coelho D. ⚽, Munder C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ramirez B. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
- 56', Salgado D. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 71', Parra P. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 71', Marquez A. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez J. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
- 71', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Munder C. ⚽, Astudillo A. (A),
- 81', Henriquez Neira J. A. ↓, Roki M. ↑,
- 81', Munder C. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 82', Meza F. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 86', Astudillo A. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Tiznado J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Cobresal
36.7% | Draw
27.8% | Palestino
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Cobresal - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.75) |
3.38 ↑
(3.31) |
2.67 ↑
(2.45) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cobresal - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 1 - 25%). Palestino (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Palestino?
Cobresal has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Cobresal?
Palestino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - Palestino were as follows:
15.02.2025
Palestino
-
Cobresal
2:1
25.08.2024
Palestino
-
Cobresal
3:0
29.03.2024
Cobresal
-
Palestino
0:2
01.10.2023
Cobresal
-
Palestino
2:1
14.04.2023
Palestino
-
Cobresal
1:5
Latest results of Cobresal
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
