Casey Scorpions vs Coburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules VFL Casey Scorpions - Coburg
Result
71:75
06/07/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VFL - Round 15

Match Stats

Goals
911
Behinds
179

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (18 - 7)
  • 2nd Quarter (17 - 8)
  • 3rd Quarter (11 - 28)
  • 4th Quarter (25 - 32)

Chances of winning


Casey Scorpions
68%
Coburg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Scorpions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Scorpions than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Scorpions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Scorpions - Coburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.38)

    2.92
    (2.86)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casey won 5.
    • Casey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Coburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Casey has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Casey is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casey won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1034:594. (average 103.4:59.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 381:218. (average 95.3:54.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Scorpions - Coburg were as follows:
    21.07.2023 Coburg - Casey Scorpions 53:95
    Latest results of Casey Scorpions
    Latest results of Coburg
    21.06.2025 Port Melbourne - Coburg 67:77
    14.06.2025 Coburg - Box Hill Hawks 50:88
    06.06.2025 Coburg - Footscray 67:111
    30.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns 2 - Coburg 47:135
    17.05.2025 Coburg - Northern Bullants 99:69
    VFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Box Hill1513021510:1052143.5452
    2Footscray1613031451:1061136.7652
    3Southport1511131572:1123139.9846
    4GWS Giants 21710071573:1349116.6040
    5Frankston1510051353:1225110.4540
    6Brisbane 21510051468:1347108.9840
    7Collingwood Magpies 21610061354:1336101.3540
    8Richmond Tigers 21510051137:114199.6540
    9Casey169161572:1142137.6538
    10Williamstown169071404:1344104.4636
    11Coburg168081349:1268106.3932
    12North Melbourne 2157171235:1206102.4030
    13Geelong Cats 2167091288:134196.0528
    14Carlton Blues 2157081194:127893.4328
    15Werribee1660101173:125793.3224
    16Gold Coast Suns 2155191230:128096.0922
    17Port Melbourne1541101131:116896.8318
    18Sydney Swans 21640121074:148172.5216
    19Essendon 21530121099:133382.4512
    20Sandringham1521121029:143671.6610
    21Northern Bullants162014912:194047.018

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