Colchester United vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.471.62
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
011
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Passes
74% (263/354)75% (249/332)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.471.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.69
Total shots
618
Shots on target
011
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
512
Shots outside the box
16
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1614
Passes
74% (263/354)75% (249/332)
Long passes
41% (30/74)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
54% (60/112)66% (71/108)
Crosses
20% (2/10)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.89
Throw ins
2120
Fouls
1416
Tackles
29% (5/17)57% (13/23)
Duels won
5569
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
90
xGOT faced
3.690.00
Goals prevented
2.690.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 45+1', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Edwards O. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 47', 0 - 1, Tsaroulla N. , Iorpenda T. (A),
  • 52', Barbrook F. 🟨,
  • 57', Hunt R. , Kuffour S. ,
  • 58', Tovide S. , Anderson H. ,
  • 61', Grant C. 🟨,
  • 66', Barbrook F. , Akachukwu R. ,
  • 68', Luker J. , Robertson S. ,
  • 70', Read A. 🟨,
  • 72', Vincent-Young K. , Williams J. ,
  • 75', Robertson S. 🟨,
  • 76', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
  • 82', Norburn O. , Bennetts K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
32.1%
Draw
27.4%
Notts County
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 28.1% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Colchester United - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.56)
    3.39
    (3.25)
    2.32
    (2.59)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H. (Broken cheekbone) Mbick M. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Jatta A. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive) Tangen H. (Inactive) Tsaroulla N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Notts County were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:3
    05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0
    18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1
    20.04.2024 Notts County - Colchester United 1:0
    30.09.2023 Colchester United - Notts County 5:4
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One