Result
4:2
28/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Collerense
46.6% | Draw
28.3% | Alcúdia
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collerense's performance.Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcúdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcúdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Collerense - Alcúdia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.57) |
3.34 ↑
(3.15) |
3.77 ↑
(2.48) |
5.6%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In recent matches, Collerense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alcúdia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Collerense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Collerense won against Alcúdia?
Collerense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Collerense?
Alcúdia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collerense - Alcúdia were as follows:
16.11.2025
Alcúdia
-
Collerense
3:0
21.09.2024
Alcúdia
-
Collerense
1:1
20.01.2024
Collerense
-
Alcúdia
1:2
Latest results of Collerense
Latest results of Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 87:20 | 67 | 74 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Constancia | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 47:26 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Formentera | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:50 | -18 | 37 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
