Cerro Porteño vs Colo-Colo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.15
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
117
Free Kicks
1115
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2321
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
1413
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
90102
Dangerous Attacks
5042

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Peralta F. 🟨,
  • 17', Saldivia A. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Carlos Palacios (Pen),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Carrizo F. , Piris R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Carrizo F. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 57', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 64', Gil L. , Zavala C. ,
  • 74', Iturbe J. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 75', Bolados M. , Pizarro V. ,
  • 82', Pavez E. , Amor E. ,
  • 83', Paiva G. , Benegas L. ,
  • 87', Piris R. , Edu ,
  • 90', Cortes B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Benegas L. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Benitez A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
43.2%
Draw
30%
Colo-Colo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 29.2% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 29.4% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cerro Porteño - Colo-Colo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.41)
    3.14
    (3.21)
    3.52
    (2.93)
    6.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Colo-Colo?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 48.7%87.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Cerro Porteño will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Colo-Colo were as follows:
    03.04.2024 Colo-Colo - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Colo-Colo
    19.05.2024 Colo-Colo - Palestino 2:0
    15.05.2024 Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo 1:1
    12.05.2024 Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo 1:4
    09.05.2024 Colo-Colo - Fluminense 0:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)