Result
4:0
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (272/344) | 84% (363/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (272/344) | 84% (363/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 64% (34/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/120) | 70% (60/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 3.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.70 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Bruno Pacheco (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Marinho ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
- 32', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Marinho (A),
- 43', Amor E. 🟨,
- 45+3', Aquino C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wiemberg E. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 57', Deyverson 🟨,
- 59', Amor E. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
- 62', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
- 64', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 65', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 71', Breno Lopes ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 74', Pavez E. ↓, Mendez V. ↑,
- 79', Aquino C. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
- 79', Vidal A. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
- 81', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 81', Lucas Sasha ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 85', 4 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
48.2% | Draw
29.5% | Colo-Colo
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Fortaleza - Colo-Colo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.03) |
3.2 ↓
(3.22) |
4.23 ↑
(3.93) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Colo-Colo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 60%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Colo-Colo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Diogo Barbosa
(Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Tinga
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Colo-Colo?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Fortaleza?
Colo-Colo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Colo-Colo were as follows:
10.04.2025
Colo-Colo
-
Fortaleza
Abandoned
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
