Result
4:5 penalties
02/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa América Women - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (105/199) | 68% (192/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 3.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (105/199) | 68% (192/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/84) | 50% (54/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.29 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Caicedo L. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
- 32', Bedoya L. 🟨,
- 40', Tarciane 🟨,
- 40', Arias C. 🟨,
- 44', Dudinha ↓, Amanda Gutierres ↑,
- 44', Fe Palermo ↓, Isa Haas ↑,
- 45+3', Tapia K. 🟨,
- 45+7', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 1, Angelina (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 69', 2 - 1, Tarciane (Own goal),
- 72', Loboa V. ↓, Usme C. ↑,
- 76', Gabi Portilho ↓, Luany ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Amanda Gutierres ⚽, Gio Garbelini (A),
- 81', Duda Sampaio ↓, Yaya ↑,
- 82', Gio Garbelini ↓, Marta ↑,
- 86', Izquierdo I. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Ramirez M. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
- 90+5', Ramirez M. ↓, Serna L. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Marta ⚽,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 103', Mariza 🟨,
- 105', 3 - 4, Marta ⚽, Angelina (A),
- 107', Bedoya L. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
- 107', Arias C. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
- 108', Kerolin ↓, Jhonson ↑,
- 114', Isa Haas 🟨,
- 115', 4 - 4, Santos L. ⚽,
- 118', Angelina 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Tarciane (Pen),
- 1, Usme C. (Pen),
- 2, Angelina (Pen),
- 2, Restrepo M. (Pen),
- 3, Amanda Gutierres (Pen),
- 3, Pavi M. (Pen),
- 4, Mariza (Pen),
- 4, Santos L. (Pen),
- 5, Marta (Pen),
- 5, Caicedo L. (Pen),
- 6, Jhonson (Pen),
- 6, Bonilla W. (Pen),
- 7, Luany (Pen),
- 7, Carabali J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Colombia W
18.8% | Draw
26.5% | Brazil W
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colombia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colombia W - Brazil W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.89 ↓
(5.33) |
3.47 ↓
(4.05) |
1.68 ↑
(1.54) |
8.7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colombia W - Brazil W?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brazil (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Brazil is Qualified for Copa America Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0.
- Colombia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Brazil is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Brazil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brazil is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colombia W won against Brazil W?
Colombia W has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brazil W won against Colombia W?
Brazil W has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colombia W - Brazil W were as follows:
25.07.2025
Brazil W
-
Colombia W
0:0
29.10.2024
Brazil W
-
Colombia W
3:1
26.10.2024
Brazil W
-
Colombia W
1:1
24.02.2024
Colombia W
-
Brazil W
0:1
Latest results of Colombia W
Latest results of Brazil W
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Argentina W | Colombia W | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Brazil W | Uruguay W | 5 : 1 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Argentina W | Uruguay W | 3 : 2 |
