Provence Rugby vs Colomiers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
20:25
26/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (15 - 22)
  • 2nd Half (5 - 3)

Chances of winning


Provence Rugby
66.6%
Draw
4.3%
Colomiers
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 3.8% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 3.1% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Colomiers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provence Rugby that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Provence Rugby - Colomiers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.33)
    20.9
    (24.24)
    3.19
    (3.46)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Provence Rugby is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Provence Rugby will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 345:390. (average 20.3:22.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 173:164. (average 21.6:20.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provence Rugby - Colomiers were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Colomiers - Provence Rugby 10:12
    07.03.2025 Provence Rugby - Colomiers 24:23
    05.12.2024 Colomiers - Provence Rugby 31:30
    01.03.2024 Provence Rugby - Colomiers 27:18
    26.09.2023 Colomiers - Provence Rugby 19:19
    Latest results of Provence Rugby
    06.03.2026 Biarritz - Provence Rugby 26:18
    27.02.2026 Provence Rugby - Agen 22:24
    20.02.2026 US Dax - Provence Rugby 33:21
    30.01.2026 Carcassonne - Provence Rugby 19:23
    Latest results of Colomiers
    05.03.2026 Colomiers - Brive 10:23
    27.02.2026 Vannes - Colomiers 40:12
    20.02.2026 Colomiers - Béziers 18:0
    12.02.2026 Nevers - Colomiers 27:39
    30.01.2026 Colomiers - SA XV Charente 42:0
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes242013807:43493
    2Colomiers241707625:38076
    3Provence Rugby2414010700:53871
    4Valence Romans241509624:58866
    5CA Brive2413110665:50463
    6US Oyonnax2412012731:54062
    7Agen2412012625:57057
    8Aurillac2411013578:62552
    9Grenoble FC2411013590:65749
    10Angouleme2410014426:59845
    11Biarritz Olympique2410113614:69243
    12Beziers2410014498:60342
    13Mont-de-Marsan249114528:77941
    14Nevers248115574:79640
    15US Dax2411013561:54839
    16Carcassonne246117443:73731

          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Pro D2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nationale