Result
30/04/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia 42.5% | Draw 28.5% | Colón 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensa y Justicia - Colón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.01) |
3.3 ↑ (3.2) |
3.27 ↓ (3.76) |
5.6% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Colón?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 3 (9.43%), project points - 42, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (1%).
- Colón has the most likely position - 20 (6.43%), project points - 33, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 40, very small importance 4, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
- Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Colón?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colón won against Defensa y Justicia?
Colón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Colón were as follows:
18.10.2022
Colón
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:2
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)