Defensa y Justicia vs Colón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
42.5%
Draw
28.5%
Colón
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 30% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Colón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.01)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.27
    (3.76)
    5.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Colón?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 3 (9.43%), project points - 42, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Colón has the most likely position - 20 (6.43%), project points - 33, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 40, very small importance 4, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Colón were as follows:
    18.10.2022 Colón - Defensa y Justicia 1:2
    Latest results of Colón
    21.04.2023 Colón - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    17.04.2023 Platense - Colón 0:0
    09.04.2023 Boca Juniors - Colón 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1263314:10421
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)