Result
30/04/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
42.5% | Draw
28.5% | Colón
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensa y Justicia - Colón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.01) |
3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.27 ↓
(3.76) |
5.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Colón?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 3 (9.43%), project points - 42, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (1%).
- Colón has the most likely position - 20 (6.43%), project points - 33, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 40, very small importance 4, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
- Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Colón?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colón won against Defensa y Justicia?
Colón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Colón were as follows:
18.10.2022
Colón
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:2
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | River Plate | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
