Nacional SP vs Colorado Caieiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, ,
  • 57', 🟥,
  • 57', 🟥,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 1, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nacional SP
35.5%
Draw
28.9%
Colorado Caieiras
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 30.9% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 31% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.7)
    3.13
    (2.9)
    2.54
    (2.5)
    10.6%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 13).
    • Nacional SP is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Colorado Caieiras's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Colorado Caieiras - Nacional SP 3:1
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    18.03.2026 Araçatuba - Nacional SP 2:3
    14.03.2026 Nacional SP - Penapolense 0:2
    07.03.2026 Comercial SP - Nacional SP 2:0
    04.03.2026 Nacional SP - Taquaritinga 0:4
    28.02.2026 Tanabi - Nacional SP 2:0
    Latest results of Colorado Caieiras
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro ✔ 1283118:41427
    2Sao Caetano ✔ 1282218:81026
    3Penapolense1273215:9624
    4Barretos EC1264210:7322
    5Lemense1262413:9420
    6Sao-Carlense1254314:11319
    7Jacarei FC1254310:8219
    8Taquaritinga1253415:10518
    9Tanabi1245310:6417
    10ECUS SP124539:6317
    11Comercial1242613:13014
    12Jabaquara122379:16-79
    13Vocem121656:12-69
    14Colorado Caieiras121566:16-108
    15Nacional SP122197:20-137
    16AEA Aracatuba121296:24-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)