Colton Smith vs Alexander Shevchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Phoenix Challenger Men Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko
Result
2:0
11/03/2025 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
63%75%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (23/27)55% (26/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (10/16)38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
45% (21/47)19% (5/27)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (10/16)38% (6/16)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
76% (32/42)51% (32/63)
Return Points Won
49% (31/63)24% (10/42)
Total Points Won
60% (63/105)40% (42/105)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
64.5%
Alexander Shevchenko
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.
  • Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.6)

    2.62
    (2.21)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 261. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 98.
    • Recent matches Smith is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Shevchenko is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Smith will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bye
    2Fearnley J.Duckworth J.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (WC)Shevchenko A. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Eubanks C. (Alt)Safiullin R. (7)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (3)Bye
    6Moutet C.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    7Hijikata R.Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Vukic A. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Opelka R. (Alt)1 : 2
    10Walton A.Gaston H.0 : 2
    11Kotov P.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    12ByeStruff J-L. (4)
    13Nardi L. (6)Nishikori K.0 : 2
    14Kukushkin M. (Q)Uchiyama Y. (Q)2 : 0
    15Tu L. (Q)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Smith C.Safiullin R. (7)2 : 0
    3Martinez P. (3)Moutet C.0 : 2
    4Hijikata R.Bublik A.1 : 2
    5Opelka R.Gaston H.0 : 2
    6Fonseca J.Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    7Nishikori K.Kukushkin M. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Spizzirri E.Cobolli F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Moutet C.Bublik A.1 : 2
    3Gaston H.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    4Nishikori K.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bublik A.0 : 2
    2Fonseca J.Nishikori K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Bublik A.Fonseca J.0 : 2