Colton Smith vs Emilio Nava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Nottingham Challenger Men Colton Smith - Emilio Nava
Result
2:1
19/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
611
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
64%60%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (49/69)78% (46/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (21/38)38% (15/39)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
22% (13/59)29% (20/69)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (24/39)45% (17/38)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
65% (70/107)62% (61/98)
Return Points Won
38% (37/98)35% (37/107)
Total Points Won
52% (107/205)48% (98/205)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
58.5%
Emilio Nava
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Colton Smith - Emilio Nava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.56)

    2.23
    (2.45)
    6.7%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Emilio Nava?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Nava will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). Nava (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 146. Nava is ranked ATP: 121.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Latest results of Emilio Nava
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1McCabe J. (Q)Loffhagen G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Trungelliti M. (SE)Smith C. (LL)1 : 2
    3Pinnington Jones J. (WC)Nava E.1 : 2
    4Peniston R. (WC)Galan D. E. (5)2 : 1
    5Holt B. (3)Faria J.0 : 2
    6Spizzirri E. (LL)Choinski J. (Q)1 : 2
    7Herbert P.Mochizuki S. (SE)0 : 2
    8Krueger M.Boyer T. (8)0 : 2
    9Cazaux A. (7)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    10Landaluce M.Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)2 : 1
    11Atmane T.Gigante M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fognini F.Fery A. (Q)0 : 2
    13Barrios Vera T. (6)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    14Schoolkate T.Blockx A.2 : 0
    15Harris L. (PR)Royer V.2 : 0
    16Grenier H. (Q)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1McCabe J.Smith C.1 : 2
    2Nava E.Peniston R.2 : 0
    3Faria J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Boyer T. (8)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A.Landaluce M.1 : 2
    6Atmane T.Fery A.2 : 1
    7Barrios Vera T. (6)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Harris L. (RET.)Cilic M. (2)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Smith C.Nava E.2 : 1
    2Faria J.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    3Landaluce M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    4Barrios Vera T. (6)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Smith C.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Cilic M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Mochizuki S.Cilic M. (2)0 : 2