Result
2:1
19/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (49/69) | 78% (46/59) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 38% (15/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (13/59) | 29% (20/69) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 45% (17/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 40% (2/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (70/107) | 62% (61/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (37/98) | 35% (37/107) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (107/205) | 48% (98/205) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 44% (14/32) |
Chances of winning
Colton Smith
58.5% | Emilio Nava
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Colton Smith - Emilio Nava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.56) |
|
2.23 ↓
(2.45) |
6.7%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Emilio Nava?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Nava will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). Nava (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Smith is ranked ATP: 146. Nava is ranked ATP: 121.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Colton Smith won against Emilio Nava?
Colton Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emilio Nava won against Colton Smith?
Emilio Nava has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colton Smith - Emilio Nava were as follows:
Latest results of Colton Smith
Latest results of Emilio Nava
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | McCabe J. (Q) | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. (SE) | Smith C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | Nava E. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Peniston R. (WC) | Galan D. E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Holt B. (3) | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Spizzirri E. (LL) | Choinski J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Herbert P. | Mochizuki S. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Krueger M. | Boyer T. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cazaux A. (7) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Landaluce M. | Budkov Kjaer N. (NG) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Atmane T. | Gigante M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fognini F. | Fery A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Trotter J. K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Schoolkate T. | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Harris L. (PR) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Grenier H. (Q) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | McCabe J. | Smith C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nava E. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Faria J. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mochizuki S. | Boyer T. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mannarino A. | Landaluce M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Fery A. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Harris L. (RET.) | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Nava E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Faria J. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Mochizuki S. | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
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