Result
2:0
13/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 62% (37/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 37% (10/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 31% (16/51) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 52% (15/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 38% (3/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (48/79) | 56% (45/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (36/81) | 39% (31/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (84/160) | 48% (76/160) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Chances of winning
Colton Smith
44.1% | Roman Safiullin
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.36) |
|
1.67 ↑
(1.52) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 56% – 94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Smith is ranked ATP: 261. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 69.
- Smith is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Safiullin will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Colton Smith won against Roman Safiullin?
Colton Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roman Safiullin won against Colton Smith?
Roman Safiullin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin were as follows:
Latest results of Colton Smith
Latest results of Roman Safiullin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fearnley J. | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (WC) | Shevchenko A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Eubanks C. (Alt) | Safiullin R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Hijikata R. | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Vukic A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rinderknech A. (8) | Opelka R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kotov P. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Struff J-L. (4) | |
| 13 | Nardi L. (6) | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Kukushkin M. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tu L. (Q) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Safiullin R. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (3) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hijikata R. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Opelka R. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nishikori K. | Kukushkin M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Spizzirri E. | Cobolli F. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishikori K. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fonseca J. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Bublik A. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
