Colton Smith vs Thiago Augustin Tirante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/03/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
57%53%
1st serve points won
46% (13/28)86% (18/21)
2nd serve points won
57% (12/21)79% (15/19)
Break Points Saved
5/90/0
1st return points won
14% (3/21)54% (15/28)
2nd return points won
21% (4/19)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
0/04/9
Winners
815
Unforced errors
2315
Net points won
40% (2/5)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
51% (25/49)82% (32/39)
Return Points Won
18% (7/39)49% (24/49)
Total Points Won
36% (32/88)64% (56/88)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
36.4%
Thiago Augustin Tirante
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colton Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.21)

    1.5
    (1.62)
    4.7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tirante will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 162. Tirante is ranked ATP: 81.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tirante might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)1 : 2