4 de Julho vs Comercial PI – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense 4 de Julho - Comercial PI
Result
2:3
12/03/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PIAUIENSE - ROUND 10

Chances of winning


4 de Julho
59.7%
Draw
24.9%
Comercial PI
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.9% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 16.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • 4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Comercial PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 4 de Julho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial PI than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial PI could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • 4 de Julho - Comercial PI Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.55)
    3.65
    (3.5)
    5.91
    (5.8)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Piauiense (Play Offs) and 7 in the zone Relegation).
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Comercial PI could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match 4 de Julho is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between 4 de Julho - Comercial PI were as follows:
    18.01.2023 Comercial PI - 4 de Julho 0:1
    Latest results of 4 de Julho
    05.03.2023 Altos - 4 de Julho 0:1
    22.02.2023 Corisabbá - 4 de Julho 2:1
    15.02.2023 Ríver PI - 4 de Julho 2:1
    12.02.2023 4 de Julho - Parnahyba 0:0
    Latest results of Comercial PI
    04.03.2023 Comercial PI - Corisabbá 2:1
    26.02.2023 Comercial PI - Altos 1:2
    01.02.2023 Comercial PI - Ríver PI 0:4
    29.01.2023 Corisabbá - Comercial PI 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Piaui (2)Parnahyba (3)3 : 1, 1 : 2
    2AE Altos (1)Fluminense-PI (4)3 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Piaui (2)Fluminense-PI (4)2 : 0, 2 : 2