Comercial SP vs Bandeirante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Comercial SP - Bandeirante
Result
2:0
05/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Guilherme Pitbull ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
41.8%
Draw
30.6%
Bandeirante
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 32.5% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 32.7% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comercial SP's performance.
  • Bandeirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bandeirante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comercial SP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandeirante than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bandeirante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comercial SP - Bandeirante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (3.07)
    3
    (2.8)
    3.32
    (2.4)
    9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).
    • Comercial SP is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Bandeirante is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of Bandeirante
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3