Comercial SP vs Catanduva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Comercial SP - Catanduva
Result
2:0
05/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Macena (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 89', 2 - 0, Macena (Pen),

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
30.3%
Draw
32.3%
Catanduva
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 30.8% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 32.9% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comercial SP's form might have worsened.
  • Catanduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comercial SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanduva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Comercial SP - Catanduva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.49)
    2.82
    (2.96)
    2.44
    (2.78)
    9.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Comercial SP - Catanduva?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comercial SP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Catanduva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Comercial SP has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Catanduva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Catanduva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of Catanduva
    01.02.2025 Catanduva - União Suzano 3:1
    25.01.2025 Sertãozinho - Catanduva 0:1
    22.01.2025 Catanduva - Bandeirante 2:0
    18.01.2025 Rio Preto - Catanduva 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3