Comercial SP vs Itapirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Paulista Comercial SP - Itapirense
Result
4:2
26/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Paulista - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 1, ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, ,
  • 80', 4 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
45.1%
Draw
28.5%
Itapirense
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 29.3% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.9% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Comercial SP - Itapirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.2)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    3.47
    (3.35)
    9.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Itapirense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Comercial SP could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comercial SP - Itapirense were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Itapirense - Comercial SP 0:1
    15.02.2025 Comercial SP - Itapirense 1:2
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1PiracicabaAEA Aracatuba0 : 1
    2Uniao Sao JoaoNoroeste0 : 1
    3Monte AzulFrancana1 : 1
    4ComercialInter de Limeira
    5Sao Jose ECSao Bento
    6Portuguesa SantistaOeste
    7Gremio PrudenteSao Caetano0 : 0
    8PrimaveraPaulista0 : 1