Result
4:2
26/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Comercial SP
45.1% | Draw
28.5% | Itapirense
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Comercial SP - Itapirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.2) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
3.47 ↑
(3.35) |
9.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Itapirense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Comercial SP could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against Itapirense?
Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itapirense won against Comercial SP?
Itapirense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comercial SP - Itapirense were as follows:
21.06.2025
Itapirense
-
Comercial SP
0:1
15.02.2025
Comercial SP
-
Itapirense
1:2
Latest results of Comercial SP
Latest results of Itapirense
Brazilian Copa Paulista Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monte Azul | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | AEA Aracatuba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Linense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 5 | Noroeste | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 5 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | Comercial | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Francana | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Primavera | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Piracicaba | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Paulista | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Guarani B | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Sao Bento | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
| 4 | Oeste | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Taubate | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Copa Paulista (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
