Portuguesa Santista vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP
Result
1:0
24/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portuguesa Santista
60.3%
Draw
23.6%
Comercial SP
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 16.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.55)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    5.66
    (5.09)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • In this match Portuguesa Santista is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP were as follows:
    25.01.2023 Comercial SP - Portuguesa Santista 2:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa Santista
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Primavera (1)Santo Andre (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Taubate (4)Sao Jose EC (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Capivariano (2)Piracicaba (7)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    4Ituano (3)Ferroviaria (6)4 : 1, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Primavera (1)Taubate (4)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Capivariano (2)Ituano (3)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Primavera (1)Capivariano (2)1 : 2, 0 : 0