Comercial SP vs Tanabi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 1, ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
34.2%
Draw
31.4%
Tanabi
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 30.1% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 29.7% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tanabi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tanabi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Comercial SP - Tanabi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.78)
    2.89
    (3.02)
    2.64
    (2.44)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Comercial SP is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tanabi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    28.03.2026 Jabaquara - Comercial SP 2:1
    21.03.2026 Jacareí - Comercial SP 1:2
    18.03.2026 Comercial SP - VOCEM 3:1
    14.03.2026 Araçatuba - Comercial SP 0:0
    Latest results of Tanabi
    28.03.2026 Tanabi - Colorado Caieiras 0:0
    25.03.2026 Taquaritinga - Tanabi 2:1
    18.03.2026 Tanabi - São Caetano 1:2
    13.03.2026 VOCEM - Tanabi 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1