Taubaté vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Taubaté - Comercial SP
Result
2:1
10/03/2024 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 14

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Taubaté
65.4%
Draw
21.5%
Comercial SP
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 26.7% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 19.9% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taubaté that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Taubaté - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.55)
    4.29
    (3.4)
    7.02
    (6.11)
    8.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).
    • Comercial SP is Relegated to Paulista A3
    • Taubaté is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Comercial SP has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Comercial SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Taubaté is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Taubaté won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taubaté - Comercial SP were as follows:
    04.02.2023 Comercial SP - Taubaté 0:1
    Latest results of Taubaté
    06.03.2024 Ferroviária - Taubaté 0:0
    02.03.2024 Taubaté - Velo Clube 0:2
    25.02.2024 CA Juventus - Taubaté 2:0
    21.02.2024 Taubaté - São José-SP 0:0
    17.02.2024 Rio Claro - Taubaté 3:2
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Primavera (1)Santo Andre (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Taubate (4)Sao Jose EC (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Capivariano (2)Piracicaba (7)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    4Ituano (3)Ferroviaria (6)4 : 1, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Primavera (1)Taubate (4)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Capivariano (2)Ituano (3)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Primavera (1)Capivariano (2)1 : 2, 0 : 0