Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/03/2024 at  10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 14
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Taubaté 65.4%
 | Draw 21.5%
 | Comercial SP 13.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taubaté that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Taubaté - Comercial SP Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.41 ↓ (1.55)
 | 4.29 ↑ (3.4)
 | 7.02 ↑ (6.11)
 | 8.6% (10.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3). 
- Comercial SP is Relegated to Paulista A3 
- Taubaté is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Comercial SP has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Comercial SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match Taubaté is a favorite.
 
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Taubaté won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Taubaté won against Comercial SP?
                    
                    
                        
                            Taubaté has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against Taubaté?
                    
                    
                        
                             Comercial SP has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Taubaté - Comercial SP were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.02.2023 
                                Comercial SP 
                                - 
                                Taubaté 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Taubaté                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Comercial SP                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Primavera (1) | Santo Andre (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 | 
| 2 | Taubate (4) | Sao Jose EC (5) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 | 
| 3 | Capivariano (2) | Piracicaba (7) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 | 
| 4 | Ituano (3) | Ferroviaria (6) | 4 : 1, 0 : 2 | 
Semi-finals| 1 | Primavera (1) | Taubate (4) | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 | 
| 2 | Capivariano (2) | Ituano (3) | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 | 
Final| 1 | Primavera (1) | Capivariano (2) | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |