Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Rafael Tanque (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
União São João
46.3% | Draw
29.7% | Comercial SP
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
União São João - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
3.79 ↑
(3.64) |
10.1%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- União São João is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Comercial SP is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- União São João is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, União São João has had a series of away games.
- União São João will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União São João won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has União São João won against Comercial SP?
União São João has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against União São João?
Comercial SP has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União São João - Comercial SP were as follows:
12.07.2025
Comercial SP
-
União São João
0:1
01.02.2025
Comercial SP
-
União São João
1:3
Latest results of União São João
Latest results of Comercial SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Inter de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 7 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Oeste | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Paulista (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
