Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Rafael Tanque (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
União São João
46.3% | Draw
29.7% | Comercial SP
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
União São João - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
3.79 ↑
(3.64) |
10.1%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- União São João is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Comercial SP is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- União São João is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, União São João has had a series of away games.
- União São João will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União São João won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has União São João won against Comercial SP?
União São João has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against União São João?
Comercial SP has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União São João - Comercial SP were as follows:
12.07.2025
Comercial SP
-
União São João
0:1
01.02.2025
Comercial SP
-
União São João
1:3
Latest results of União São João
Latest results of Comercial SP
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | AEA Aracatuba | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Oeste | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC | Sao Bento | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Comercial | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Sao Joao | Noroeste | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Primavera | Paulista | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Gremio Prudente | Sao Caetano | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | Francana | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Oeste | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | Comercial | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Uniao Sao Joao | Primavera | 0 : 2, 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | Francana | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Comercial | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Primavera | Gremio Prudente | 0 : 1 |
