Comercial SP vs XV de Jaú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 74', 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Comercial SP
46.6%
Draw
30.7%
XV de Jaú
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 29.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Comercial SP - XV de Jaú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    4.01
    (4.5)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 11).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Comercial SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Comercial SP is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Latest results of XV de Jaú
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista1080218:81024
    2Marilia1064016:41222
    3Rio Claro1063113:7621
    4XV de Jau1052312:9317
    5Rio Preto1045115:11417
    6Catanduva1044213:9416
    7Uniao Barbarense1044210:9116
    8EC Sao Bernardo1043311:8315
    9Paulista1033411:11012
    10Uniao Sao Joao103349:9012
    11Rio Branco SP102448:13-510
    12Bandeirante102447:13-610
    13Francana102178:14-67
    14Itapirense1013610:17-76
    15Desportivo101365:16-116
    16Uniao Suzano101278:16-85

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4