ADA Jaén vs Comerciantes Belén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Belén
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 🟨,
  • 19', 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 50', 0 - 2, ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


ADA Jaén
45.8%
Draw
30.1%
Comerciantes Belén
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 25.7% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 25.3% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADA Jaén's form might have worsened.
  • Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADA Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Belén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.72)
    3.02
    (3.6)
    3.78
    (4.51)
    10%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • ADA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, ADA is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén 1:1
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    24.08.2025 San Marcos - ADA Jaén 1:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    20.07.2025 ADA Jaén - San Marcos 0:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica62317:709
    2Moquegua52216:609
    3FC Cajamarca61325:6-18
    4Carlos Mannucci52129:727
    5Cesar Vallejo62137:8-17


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio ✔ 660013:21118
    2Comerciantes61236:7-17
    3Santos52036:8-26
    4San Marcos51223:8-56
    5ADA Jaen60425:8-34

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Union Comercio is Confirmed as champions