Comerciantes Belén vs San Marcos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos
Result
6:0
07/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Pereira G. ,
  • 8', Gadea A. 🟨,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Dominguez J. ,
  • 18', 3 - 0, Aburto B. ,
  • 24', 4 - 0, Lemos M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 5 - 0, Lemos M. ,
  • 64', Mifflin L. , Pinedo D. ,
  • 64', Pereira G. , Vasquez J. ,
  • 72', Pereira G. , Vasquez J. ,
  • 83', 6 - 0, Vasquez J. ,
  • 83', Vasquez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
58.9%
Draw
25.2%
San Marcos
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 26.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 25.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Belén's performance.
  • San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marcos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Belén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.83)
    3.6
    (3.48)
    6.05
    (3.83)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • San Marcos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Comerciantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos were as follows:
    01.08.2025 San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén 1:0
    17.09.2024 San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén 1:1
    23.08.2024 Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos 5:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Latest results of San Marcos
    24.08.2025 San Marcos - ADA Jaén 1:0
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    20.07.2025 ADA Jaén - San Marcos 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2