Result
1:0
01/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 3
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Paz L. ⚽,
- 27', Hurtado C. ↓, Aburto B. ↑,
- 38', Moyano D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Navarro J. 🟨,
- 58', 🟨,
- 63', Soto J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 68', Pinedo D. ↓, Ulloa J. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 70', 🟨,
- 70', 🟨,
- 71', Paz L. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Marcos
55.6% | Draw
27% | Comerciantes Belén
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(2.2) |
3.36 ↑
(3.08) |
5.21 ↑
(3.1) |
10.2%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén?
Users Predictions:
San Marcos will win
(27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Marcos will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- San Marcos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Comerciantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Marcos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- San Marcos might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos won against Comerciantes Belén?
San Marcos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Belén won against San Marcos?
Comerciantes Belén has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
17.09.2024
San Marcos
-
Comerciantes Belén
1:1
23.08.2024
Comerciantes Belén
-
San Marcos
5:0
Latest results of San Marcos
Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tacna Heroica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Moquegua | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Cesar Vallejo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Cajamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Santos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | San Marcos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Comerciantes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 5 | ADA Jaen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
