Santos vs Comerciantes Belén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Santos - Comerciantes Belén
21/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Santos
46.1%
Draw
27.1%
Comerciantes Belén
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Santos - Comerciantes Belén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    3.38
    (3.48)
    10.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santos could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 3:0
    25.05.2025 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 3:2
    29.06.2024 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 1:0
    11.10.2023 Santos - Comerciantes Belén Canceled
    02.10.2023 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Santos
    14.09.2025 San Marcos - Santos 1:3
    06.09.2025 Santos - ADA Jaén 1:2
    30.08.2025 Unión Comercio - Santos 2:1
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moquegua ✔ 732213:10312
    2FC Cajamarca72327:7011
    3Cesar Vallejo73139:9010
    4Tacna Heroica824211:12-110
    5Carlos Mannucci722314:16-28


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio ✔ 760113:4918
    2Comerciantes722312:7510
    3ADA Jaen82429:9010
    4Santos730410:11-19
    5San Marcos71244:17-136

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Union Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)