Comerciantes Belén vs Universidad César Vallejo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - Universidad César Vallejo
Result
0:1 penalties
05/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟥,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
45%
Draw
28.6%
Universidad César Vallejo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 24% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Belén's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Comerciantes Belén - Universidad César Vallejo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.5)
    3.17
    (3.75)
    3.53
    (5.6)
    9.9%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Comerciantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2