Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (212/283) | 88% (410/468) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.91 | 1.65 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (212/283) | 88% (410/468) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (22/61) | 46% (23/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
47% (27/58) | 71% (94/132) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 13% (3/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (12/12) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.65 | 0.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.35 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Callejo F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Gonzales S. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 57', Colman I. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
- 63', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 66', Paico K. ↓, Campos H. ↑,
- 66', Duclos F. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Sandoval R. ⚽, Campos H. (A),
- 72', Marina J. 🟨,
- 73', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 75', Paredes G. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
- 75', Marina J. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
- 77', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
- 85', Saravia M. 🟨,
- 87', Da Silva P. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 88', Sen M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,
- 90+4', Callejo F. 🟨,
- 90+11', Tevez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos 31.8% | Draw 27.3% | Cusco 40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.6) |
3.41 ↑ (3.2) |
2.3 ↓ (2.4) |
6.8% (11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2.
- Recent form of Comerciantes Unidos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cusco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Sen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cusco?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco were as follows:
14.09.2024
Cusco
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
08.04.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cusco
0:1
25.09.2022
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cusco
2:1
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )