Comerciantes Unidos vs Escuela Municipal Binacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.64
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (336/428)75% (300/399)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.62
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (336/428)75% (300/399)
Long passes
59% (44/75)38% (24/63)
Passes in final third
62% (81/131)59% (67/113)
Crosses
25% (6/24)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.44
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
912
Tackles
75% (6/8)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5645
Clearances
1824
Interceptions
177
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.621.04
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Tello Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Gutierrez A. , Chavez E. ,
  • 62', Escalante L. , Lecaros A. ,
  • 62', Alfaro Martinez G. E. , Mendez P. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Sen M. , Gonzales S. (A),
  • 73', Gonzales S. , Portugal B. ,
  • 74', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Sandoval R. ,
  • 77', Aguinaga A. , Flores F. ,
  • 77', Torres R. , Meza C. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Aubert E. , Carranza J. (A),
  • 86', Marina J. , Parodi J. ,
  • 88', Carranza J. , Rasmussen M. ,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
51.2%
Draw
26.7%
Escuela Municipal Binacional
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.7% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 24% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Escuela Municipal Binacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.83)
    3.54
    (3.8)
    4.16
    (3.9)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Escuela Municipal Binacional?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Binacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Comerciantes Unidos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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