Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
01/11/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.84
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
75% (200/267)89% (446/499)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.33
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1227
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (200/267)89% (446/499)
Long passes
33% (20/60)64% (18/28)
Passes in final third
38% (20/53)75% (92/122)
Crosses
38% (6/16)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.19
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
712
Tackles
69% (9/13)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4232
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.331.19
Goals prevented
-1.670.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Alcedo F. 🟨,
  • 4', 0 - 1, Gonzalez S. ,
  • 16', Tecilla N. 🟨,
  • 22', Avila I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Sen M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 55', Mendez P. 🟥,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Avila I. , Pretell J. (A),
  • 69', Alfaro Martinez G. E. , Vilchez Y. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Avila I. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 75', Avila I. , Pasquini N. ,
  • 75', Abram L. , Sosa L. ,
  • 75', Parodi J. , Carpio Ferro M. P. ,
  • 79', Yotun Y. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 79', Wisdom I. , Benavente C. ,
  • 81', Marina J. , Chipao R. ,
  • 83', 1 - 4, Castro M. , Sosa L. (A),
  • 87', Castro M. , Moretti J. ,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
23.6%
Draw
26.9%
Sporting Cristal
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 25.7% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 23.9% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (3.93)
    3.45
    (3.59)
    1.87
    (1.81)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Sporting Cristal (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Sporting Cristal (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Cristal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
    • Comerciantes Unidos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Cardenas P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury) Pacheco F. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos 2:0
    03.11.2024 Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0
    25.05.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal 0:1
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas752014:8617
    2Alianza Lima752010:4617
    3U. de Deportes742111:7414
    4Cienciano741216:10613
    5Cajamarca741210:8213
    6Sporting Cristal732213:8511
    7FBC Melgar731311:9210
    8Comerciantes Unidos731312:12010
    9Juan Pablo II731313:18-510
    10Alianza Atl72326:519
    11AD Tarma72236:8-28
    12Sport Huancayo72148:9-17
    13Cusco72147:8-17
    14Moquegua72145:12-77
    15Deportivo Garcilaso71336:8-26
    16FC Cajamarca712410:13-35
    17Grau71243:8-55
    18Sport Boys71243:9-65

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