Result
1:4
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Comércio e Indústria 16.6% | Draw 25.9% | Louletano 57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comércio e Indústria's form might have worsened.Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louletano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comércio e Indústria - Louletano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.46 ↑ (3.9) |
3.5 ↑ (3.1) |
1.58 ↓ (1.75) |
10.4% (15%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Comércio Indústria is Relegated to
- Comércio Indústria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Louletano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Louletano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Louletano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Comércio e Indústria won against Louletano?
Comércio e Indústria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louletano won against Comércio e Indústria?
Louletano has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comércio e Indústria - Louletano were as follows:
15.11.2025
Louletano
-
Comércio e Indústria
1:0
25.01.2025
Louletano
-
Comércio e Indústria
1:0
01.09.2024
Comércio e Indústria
-
Louletano
0:1
Latest results of Comércio e Indústria
Latest results of Louletano
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Louletano | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | Serpa | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Moncarapachense | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 30:27 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Oriental | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to