Comércio e Indústria vs Louletano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
67
Corner kicks
41
Total shots
712
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
15
Corner kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, ,
  • 21', 0 - 2, ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 4, ,
  • 55', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Comércio e Indústria
16.6%
Draw
25.9%
Louletano
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 28% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 27% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comércio e Indústria's form might have worsened.
  • Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louletano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Comércio e Indústria - Louletano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.46
    (3.9)
    3.5
    (3.1)
    1.58
    (1.75)
    10.4%
    (15%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Comércio Indústria is Relegated to
    • Comércio Indústria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Louletano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Louletano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Louletano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comércio Indústria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comércio e Indústria - Louletano were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Louletano - Comércio e Indústria 1:0
    25.01.2025 Louletano - Comércio e Indústria 1:0
    01.09.2024 Comércio e Indústria - Louletano 0:1
    Latest results of Louletano
    15.03.2026 Louletano - Serpa 2:1
    01.03.2026 Louletano - Oriental 2:0
    22.02.2026 Alverca B - Louletano 0:2
    15.02.2026 Louletano - Elvas 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira23118433:201341
    2Louletano22118328:111741
    3Juv. Evora23109430:21939
    4Alverca B22115639:31838
    5GD Alcochetense2297629:191034
    6Serpa2397725:28-334
    7Lagoa2396838:31733
    8Sintrense2387822:24-231
    9Moncarapachense2379721:19230
    10O Elvas CAD23851030:27329
    11Oriental23610726:31-528
    12Portimonense B22641217:30-1322
    13Vasco da Gama ✔ 231111117:43-2614
    14Industria ✔ 23261519:39-2012

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
    Industria is Relegated to