Monza vs Como – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.35
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
88% (360/410)93% (550/591)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.672.11
Total shots
817
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1221
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
2119
Passes
88% (360/410)93% (550/591)
Long passes
51% (20/39)63% (15/24)
Passes in final third
76% (41/54)85% (104/123)
Crosses
15% (2/13)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.97
Fouls
1921
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4243
Clearances Total
1018
Interceptions
100
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.111.67
Goals prevented
-0.890.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mota D. , Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Ikone J. , Diao A. (A),
  • 24', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
  • 38', Bianco A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Diao A. ,
  • 42', Nesta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 3, Vojvoda M. , Caqueret M. (A),
  • 55', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
  • 56', Birindelli S. , Castrovilli G. ,
  • 56', Kyriakopoulos G. , Caldirola L. ,
  • 56', Bianco A. , Gagliardini R. ,
  • 59', Vojvoda M. , Smolcic I. ,
  • 60', Caqueret M. , Perrone M. ,
  • 67', Akpa Akpro J. , Caprari G. ,
  • 71', Ikone J. , Strefezza G. ,
  • 71', Da Cunha L. , Roberto S. ,
  • 80', D'Ambrosio D. , Palacios T. ,
  • 87', Paz N. , Engelhardt Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
19.1%
Draw
24.6%
Como
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 25.6% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.5% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Monza - Como Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (4.47)
    3.88
    (3.75)
    1.7
    (1.82)
    4.7%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)
  • What is the prediction for Monza - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Como will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 57.5%89.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Como (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Monza (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Como will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 20%). Como (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.
    • Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Como is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Como is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monza: Caldirola L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Como: Dossena A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Como were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Como - Monza 1:1
    Latest results of Monza
    30.03.2025 Cagliari - Monza 3:0
    15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1
    08.03.2025 Inter Milan - Monza 3:2
    02.03.2025 Monza - Torino 0:2
    24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0
    Latest results of Como
    29.03.2025 Como - Empoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1
    08.03.2025 Como - Venezia 1:1
    02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1
    23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B