Result
1:3
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 31
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 2.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
88% (360/410) | 93% (550/591) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 2.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.67 | 2.11 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 21 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 19 |
Passes |
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88% (360/410) | 93% (550/591) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (20/39) | 63% (15/24) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (41/54) | 85% (104/123) |
Crosses |
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15% (2/13) | 0% (0/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 0.97 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
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42 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
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10 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.11 | 1.67 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.89 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Mota D. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Ikone J. ⚽, Diao A. (A),
- 24', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
- 38', Bianco A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Diao A. ⚽,
- 42', Nesta A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 3, Vojvoda M. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
- 55', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
- 56', Birindelli S. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 56', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
- 56', Bianco A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
- 59', Vojvoda M. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
- 60', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
- 67', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 71', Ikone J. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
- 71', Da Cunha L. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
- 80', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
- 87', Paz N. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza 19.1% | Draw 24.6% | Como 56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Monza - Como Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.98 ↑ (4.47) |
3.88 ↑ (3.75) |
1.7 ↓ (1.82) |
4.7% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)
What is the prediction for Monza - Como?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Como will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 57.5% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Como (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.
- Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Como is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Como is a favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Caldirola L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Como: Dossena A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A.
(Thigh Injury)
Sensi S.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Como?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against Monza?
Como has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Como were as follows:
30.11.2024
Como
-
Monza
1:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B