SPAL vs Como – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B SPAL - Como
Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Gariglio M. (Ita)

Chances of winning


SPAL
33.4%
Draw
29.6%
Como
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 30.3% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.7% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • SPAL - Como Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.52)
    3.19
    (3.1)
    2.54
    (2.91)
    5.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for SPAL - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Como will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (13.95%), has project points - 42, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Como has the most likely position - 17 (10.95%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 30, importance 57, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Como is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Como were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Como - SPAL 3:3
    Latest results of SPAL
    11.02.2023 Venezia - SPAL 2:1
    04.02.2023 SPAL - Bari 3:4
    27.01.2023 Cagliari - SPAL 2:1
    21.01.2023 SPAL - Ascoli 1:1
    14.01.2023 Reggina - SPAL 0:1
    Latest results of Como
    04.02.2023 Como - Frosinone 0:2
    28.01.2023 Brescia - Como 0:1
    21.01.2023 Como - Pisa 2:2
    14.01.2023 Cagliari - Como 2:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2