Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
- Referee: Gariglio M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
SPAL
33.4% | Draw
29.6% | Como
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
SPAL - Como Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.52) |
3.19 ↑
(3.1) |
2.54 ↓
(2.91) |
5.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Como?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Como will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (13.95%), has project points - 42, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Como has the most likely position - 17 (10.95%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 30, importance 57, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Como is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Como?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against SPAL?
Como has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Como were as follows:
17.09.2022
Como
-
SPAL
3:3
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
