SPAL vs Como – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Gariglio M. (Ita)

Chances of winning


SPAL
33.4%
Draw
29.6%
Como
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 30.3% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.7% 33%

SPAL - Como Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.84
(2.52)
3.19
(3.1)
2.54
(2.91)
5.9%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Como will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (13.95%), has project points - 42, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Como has the most likely position - 17 (10.95%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 30, importance 57, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Como is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Como were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Como - SPAL 3:3
    Latest results of SPAL
    11.02.2023 Venezia - SPAL 2:1
    04.02.2023 SPAL - Bari 3:4
    27.01.2023 Cagliari - SPAL 2:1
    21.01.2023 SPAL - Ascoli 1:1
    14.01.2023 Reggina - SPAL 0:1
    Latest results of Como
    04.02.2023 Como - Frosinone 0:2
    28.01.2023 Brescia - Como 0:1
    21.01.2023 Como - Pisa 2:2
    14.01.2023 Cagliari - Como 2:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone1594229:131631
    2Monza1594221:101131
    3Cesena1583421:15627
    4Venezia1575326:131326
    5Palermo1575324:111326
    6Modena1575322:111126
    7Catanzaro1557321:18322
    8Empoli1555523:21220
    9Reggiana1555519:19020
    10Avellino1555518:26-820
    11Juve Stabia1547415:19-419
    12Padova1546514:17-318
    13Carrarese1537520:24-416
    14Entella1536614:21-715
    15Bari1536614:25-1115
    16Sudtirol1528515:19-414
    17Spezia1535714:20-614
    18Mantova1542913:23-1014
    19Sampdoria1534815:22-713
    20Pescara1517719:30-1110

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation