Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
- Referee: Gariglio M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
SPAL
33.4% | Draw
29.6% | Como
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
SPAL - Como Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.52) |
3.19 ↑
(3.1) |
2.54 ↓
(2.91) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Como?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Como will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (13.95%), has project points - 42, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Como has the most likely position - 17 (10.95%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 30, importance 57, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Como is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Como?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against SPAL?
Como has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Como were as follows:
17.09.2022
Como
-
SPAL
3:3
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
