Compostela vs Céltiga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Compostela
62.2%
Draw
23.5%
Céltiga
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 22.4% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 21.7% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Compostela - Céltiga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.38)
    3.88
    (4.05)
    6.41
    (7.55)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).
    • Compostela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Compostela is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Compostela
    01.02.2026 Compostela - Boiro 2:2
    25.01.2026 Barco - Compostela 2:0
    18.01.2026 Compostela - Viveiro 3:1
    10.01.2026 Estradense - Compostela 0:2
    20.12.2025 Compostela - Somozas 3:0
    Latest results of Céltiga
    01.02.2026 Somozas - Céltiga 1:1
    25.01.2026 Céltiga - Montañeros 1:1
    18.01.2026 Céltiga - Arosa 3:4
    21.12.2025 Céltiga - Noia 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation