Compostela vs Céltiga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Compostela
62.2%
Draw
23.5%
Céltiga
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 22.4% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 21.7% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Compostela - Céltiga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.38)
    3.88
    (4.05)
    6.41
    (7.55)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).
    • Compostela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Compostela is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Compostela
    01.02.2026 Compostela - Boiro 2:2
    25.01.2026 Barco - Compostela 2:0
    18.01.2026 Compostela - Viveiro 3:1
    10.01.2026 Estradense - Compostela 0:2
    20.12.2025 Compostela - Somozas 3:0
    Latest results of Céltiga
    01.02.2026 Somozas - Céltiga 1:1
    25.01.2026 Céltiga - Montañeros 1:1
    18.01.2026 Céltiga - Arosa 3:4
    21.12.2025 Céltiga - Noia 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation