Compostela vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Uzal D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Compostela
67.7%
Draw
21.4%
Noia
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 20.1% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 19% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Compostela - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.34)
    4.32
    (4.5)
    8.49
    (7.32)
    8.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Compostela - Noia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Compostela will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Compostela (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Compostela is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Noia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Compostela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Compostela is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Compostela
    09.11.2025 RC Villalbes - Compostela 2:2
    02.11.2025 Compostela - Barbadás 1:1
    25.10.2025 Alondras - Compostela 0:2
    19.10.2025 Compostela - Lugo B 3:2
    12.10.2025 Gran Peña - Compostela 1:1
    Latest results of Noia
    09.11.2025 Noia - Estradense 1:1
    01.11.2025 Somozas - Noia 1:0
    25.10.2025 Noia - Montañeros 1:3
    19.10.2025 Arosa - Noia 5:2
    12.10.2025 Noia - Atlético Arteixo 2:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation