Fleury-Merogis vs Concarneau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
27/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 26', Badin C. , Bovis E. ,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Da Silva F. , Inquel S. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Goujon L. , Baldoni S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 3, Baldoni S. , Halby J. (A),
  • 52', Rivas J. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 4, Baldoni S. , Gbelle G. (A),
  • 58', Gannoun K. , Belliard M. ,
  • 58', Colombo F. , Vogt Q. ,
  • 58', Hervieu L. , Sylla S. ,
  • 71', Seba D. 🟨,
  • 74', Plisson T. , Tchouatcha J. ,
  • 74', Baldoni S. , Ntumi M. ,
  • 76', Da Silva F. , Etcheverria B. ,
  • 84', Halby J. , Varvat J. ,
  • 85', Gbelle G. , Amede Kabongo R. ,

Chances of winning


Fleury-Merogis
46%
Draw
28.5%
Concarneau
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.6% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleury-Merogis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Fleury-Merogis - Concarneau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.96)
    3.22
    (3.14)
    3.6
    (3.74)
    9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fleury-Merogis - Concarneau?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fleury-Merogis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Concarneau will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fleury-Merogis: 4%71%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury-Merogis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Fleury-Merogis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Concarneau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Concarneau has had a series of home games.
    • Fleury-Merogis could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fleury-Merogis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleury-Merogis - Concarneau were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Concarneau - Fleury-Merogis 0:1
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    Latest results of Concarneau
    20.02.2026 Concarneau - Versailles 0:2
    12.02.2026 Quevilly - Concarneau 2:1
    06.02.2026 Concarneau - Aubagne 1:0
    16.01.2026 Concarneau - Caen 3:3
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon301611347:222559
    2Sochaux30169548:222657
    3Fleury-Merogis30159646:262054
    4Rouen301313440:251552
    5Versailles30147941:311049
    6Orleans30139838:39-148
    7Le Puy-en-Velay301210842:34846
    8Caen30815738:31739
    9Valenciennes301071333:41-836
    10Concarneau308121030:35-536
    11Villefranche311061532:43-1136
    12Aubagne30891334:44-1033
    13Paris 13 Atl307101325:39-1431
    14Quevilly Rouen30791433:42-930
    15Bourg en Bresse31771724:44-2028
    16Chateauroux305121331:46-1526
    17Stade Briochin304111530:48-1823

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation