Concarneau vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French National League Concarneau - Le Mans
Result
5:2
09/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceFFF TV
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kielt S. ,
  • 19', Eyoum T. , Lamgahez Z. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Bamba R. , Kielt S. (A),
  • 45+4', Lauray A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Ribelin A. , Oggad B. ,
  • 53', Voyer H. 🟨,
  • 55', Vula A. , Gueye D. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Oggad B. ,
  • 59', Kielt S. , Sery J. ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Etuin M. ,
  • 68', Oggad B. 🟨,
  • 69', Wahib A. 🟨,
  • 70', Samoura A. , Gromat J. ,
  • 72', Rossignol M. , Oudjani A. ,
  • 72', Bernardeau G. , Ouchen A. ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, Sery J. , Mouazan B. (A),
  • 80', 5 - 1, Touzghar R. , Soukouna Y. (A),
  • 81', Soukouna Y. , Etcheverria B. ,
  • 81', Mouazan B. , Silva A. ,
  • 86', Etcheverria B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 5 - 2, Gueye D. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Concarneau
18.5%
Draw
25.9%
Le Mans
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 27.9% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 26.6% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.
  • Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Mans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Mans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Concarneau - Le Mans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.96
    (3.61)
    3.55
    (3.33)
    1.66
    (2)
    8.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Concarneau - Le Mans?
  • Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Concarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Le Mans is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Concarneau - Le Mans were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Le Mans - Concarneau 3:1
    06.02.2023 Le Mans - Concarneau 3:2
    26.08.2022 Concarneau - Le Mans 1:0
    Latest results of Concarneau
    25.04.2025 Concarneau - Quevilly 5:1
    11.04.2025 Concarneau - Boulogne 1:1
    04.04.2025 Dijon - Concarneau 0:1
    28.03.2025 Concarneau - Sochaux 1:1
    Latest results of Le Mans
    02.05.2025 Le Mans - Rouen FC 2:2
    25.04.2025 Valenciennes - Le Mans 0:1
    18.04.2025 Le Mans - Nîmes 4:0
    11.04.2025 Orleans - Le Mans 1:2
    04.04.2025 Le Mans - Aubagne 1:1
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caen00000:000
    2Valenciennes00000:000
    3AC Ajaccio00000:000
    4Chateauroux00000:000
    5Dijon00000:000
    6Quevilly Rouen00000:000
    7Rouen00000:000
    8Sochaux00000:000
    9Bourg en Bresse00000:000
    10Villefranche00000:000
    11Stade Briochin00000:000
    12Concarneau00000:000
    13Versailles00000:000
    14Orleans00000:000
    15Aubagne00000:000
    16Le Puy-en-Velay00000:000
    17Fleury-Merogis00000:000
    18Paris 13 Atl00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation