Concarneau vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
21/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, France 3, Free
norwayNorwayVG+
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.932.40
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
79% (302/382)79% (407/514)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.932.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.823.16
Total shots
148
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
208
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
179
Passes
79% (302/382)79% (407/514)
Long passes
50% (30/60)34% (25/74)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)58% (47/81)
Crosses
4% (1/24)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.14
Throw-ins
2131
Fouls
917
Tackles
88% (15/17)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
729
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
3.161.82
Goals prevented
-1.84-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Deuff B. , Abline M. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Cozza N. (Own goal),
  • 23', 1 - 2, El Arabi Y. , Abline M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Centonze F. ,
  • 45', 2 - 3, Samoura A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+2', Amian K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 4, Abline M. , Centonze F. (A),
  • 57', Amede Kabongo R. , Inquel S. ,
  • 58', 2 - 5, Abline M. , El Arabi Y. (A),
  • 65', Seba D. , Gbelle G. ,
  • 66', Tell J. , Daf O. ,
  • 69', Tabibou D. , Lepenant J. ,
  • 73', Jannez G. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 5, Soukouna Y. , Daf O. (A),
  • 75', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 81', El Arabi Y. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 81', Picouleau M. , El Khemiri Y. ,
  • 82', Etcheverria B. , Tutu G. ,
  • 89', Centonze F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Centonze F. , Acapandie M. ,

Chances of winning


Concarneau
22.2%
Draw
24.9%
Nantes
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 23.4% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 19.4% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Concarneau - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (4)
    3.81
    (3.99)
    1.77
    (1.75)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Concarneau - Nantes?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Nantes will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Concarneau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nantes is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Concarneau
    21.11.2025 Rouen FC - Concarneau 0:0
    07.11.2025 Concarneau - Orleans 3:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    12.12.2025 Angers - Nantes 4:1
    06.12.2025 Nantes - Lens 1:2
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice