Barra Santa Catarina vs Concórdia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
25/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
156
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
94
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Geovany Soares ,
  • 13', Kaik , Puerari E. ,
  • 14', Da Rocha 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Renan Bernabe ,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Renan Bernabe ,
  • 45+3', 3 - 1, Caio Mota (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Jackson , Campos Eric ,
  • 46', Caca , Matheus Maia ,
  • 51', Anthonio Sergio 🟨,
  • 58', Anthonio Sergio , Da Silva ,
  • 62', Petterson 🟨,
  • 70', Caio Mota , Hiago ,
  • 71', Renan Bernabe , Saymon ,
  • 71', Da Rocha , Guilherme Lazaroni ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, Saymon ,
  • 79', Geovany Soares , Fabio ,
  • 79', Cleo Silva , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 80', 5 - 1, Saymon ,

Chances of winning


Barra Santa Catarina
69.5%
Draw
22.1%
Concórdia
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 27.5% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 27.1% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.
  • Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concórdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concórdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.57)
    4.17
    (3.32)
    10.91
    (6.4)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Barra (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barra (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Concórdia is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Concórdia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barra is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barra won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Concórdia - Barra Santa Catarina 0:0
    03.10.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia 0:2
    30.06.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia 0:0
    19.05.2024 Concórdia - Barra Santa Catarina 1:0
    10.02.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia 3:0
    Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina
    Latest results of Concórdia
    22.01.2026 Concórdia - Figueirense 1:0
    19.01.2026 Criciúma - Concórdia 3:1
    14.01.2026 Concórdia - Chapecoense 1:2
    08.01.2026 Carlos Renaux - Concórdia 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ConcordiaBrusque1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2CriciumaChapecoense-SC0 : 0, 1 : 2
    3Barra FCSanta Catarina1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4CamboriuAvai2 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1BrusqueChapecoense-SC0 : 3, 1 : 0
    2Barra FCCamboriu3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SCBarra FC1 : 3