Concórdia vs Hercílio Luz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Concórdia - Hercílio Luz
Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
67
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
45
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Kerlly ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yuri Sousa , Alex Henrique ,
  • 46', Emanuel Jesus , Vitinho ,
  • 46', Eli Junior , Pedro M. ,
  • 46', Kerlly , Cristian ,
  • 60', Lipe Lenger , Felipe Rangel ,
  • 60', Indio , Wilgner ,
  • 65', Matheus Neris , Dudu Silva ,
  • 80', Richard , Luiz Felipe ,
  • 83', Dudu Silva 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Concórdia
32.4%
Draw
31.7%
Hercílio Luz
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.7% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concórdia's form might have worsened.
  • Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hercílio Luz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concórdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hercílio Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Concórdia - Hercílio Luz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.33)
    2.86
    (2.92)
    2.53
    (2.98)
    10.2%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 0.
    • Recent matches Concórdia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hercílio Luz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Hercílio Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Concórdia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Concórdia - Hercílio Luz were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Hercílio Luz - Concórdia 3:2
    07.07.2024 Concórdia - Hercílio Luz 1:1
    11.05.2024 Hercílio Luz - Concórdia 1:1
    25.02.2024 Hercílio Luz - Concórdia 3:0
    23.09.2023 Hercílio Luz - Concórdia 2:1
    Latest results of Concórdia
    Latest results of Hercílio Luz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2