Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Kerlly ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yuri Sousa ↓, Alex Henrique ↑,
- 46', Emanuel Jesus ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 46', Eli Junior ↓, Pedro M. ↑,
- 46', Kerlly ↓, Cristian ↑,
- 60', Lipe Lenger ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
- 60', Indio ↓, Wilgner ↑,
- 65', Matheus Neris ↓, Dudu Silva ↑,
- 80', Richard ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 83', Dudu Silva 🟨,
- 83', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Concórdia
32.4% | Draw
31.7% | Hercílio Luz
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concórdia's form might have worsened.Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hercílio Luz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concórdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hercílio Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Concórdia - Hercílio Luz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.33) |
2.86 ↓
(2.92) |
2.53 ↓
(2.98) |
10.2%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 0.
- Recent matches Concórdia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hercílio Luz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Hercílio Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Concórdia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Concórdia won against Hercílio Luz?
Concórdia has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Concórdia?
Hercílio Luz has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Concórdia - Hercílio Luz were as follows:
12.10.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Concórdia
3:2
07.07.2024
Concórdia
-
Hercílio Luz
1:1
11.05.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Concórdia
1:1
25.02.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Concórdia
3:0
23.09.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Concórdia
2:1
Latest results of Concórdia
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
